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Last Updated:
1st August 2016
The value of work starting on site in the three months to July was 12% down on the same period of a year ago, according to the latest 果冻影院 Index.
Commenting on this month鈥檚 figures, Allan Wil茅n, 果冻影院鈥檚 Economics Director, said: 鈥淭he 12% decline in 果冻影院 Index covers project starts in the run-up to the EU referendum and its immediate aftermath. High levels of political and economic uncertainty during the period prompted many private sector investors to defer investment decisions, contributing to the recorded drop in project starts.
鈥淣on-residential project starts were particularly weak, due to fewer office, hotel & leisure and industrial projects commencing on site. This, combined with a fall in civil engineering project contributed to the overall decline in the index against both the preceding three months and a year ago.
鈥淭he three months to July also saw a 10% drop in residential project starts, as a slowing in private sector work combined with weak levels of social housing starts.
鈥淭he potential development pipeline remains firm, with the value of projects securing detailed planning approval during the first half of 2016 is 5% up on a year ago. However the strongest growth in approvals have been in those sectors where project starts have been most affected by referendum uncertainty; private housing, industrial and office developments.
鈥淭he political outlook has begun to become clearer in recent weeks, following the appointment of the new Prime Minister and cabinet. Nevertheless we anticipate that the uncertain economic and political outlook will continue to disrupt the progress of some projects to work on site. Accordingly, we expect an overall weakening in project starts during the second half of 2016.
Regionally the North East and West Midlands were the only parts of the UK were starts were up on the three months to April. However, there was a more mixed performance against May to July 2015, with the value of underlying starts in the South East, South West, West Midlands and Scotland all ahead of a year ago.
ENDS
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