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Figures released today (19 November) by construction intelligence providers 果冻影院 forecast a 4% increase in project starts for 2014, as private sector investment leads a sustained recovery in industry activity.
 
The , prepared by 果冻影院鈥檚 economics team, indicates that the value of projects receiving detailed planning approval has improved strongly in 2013 and a firm development pipeline of future projects is now in place.
 
Underlying project starts in the UK are expected to have risen by 2.5% this year due to increases in the value of civil engineering projects and an uplift in private housing. Work volumes will continue to pick up across the industry as the increase in project starts feeds into output figures.
 
Commenting on the construction outlook for next year, Allan Wil茅n, Economics Director at 果冻影院, said: 鈥淟ooking ahead to 2014, we anticipate an acceleration in construction growth, with project starts expected to increase by 4%. The private sector will be the key driver of demand in 2014 and 果冻影院 expects strong growth in the value of industrial, office, retail and hotel & leisure projects being brought to site.鈥
 
Allan added: 鈥淣ew project starts in these sectors contracted during the first half 2013 as economic confidence faltered; however data for the second half of the year shows a rapid growth in starts that is expected to continue through 2014.鈥
 
Growth will be felt across the main sectors of the industry, with starts of civil engineering and non-residential work driving expansion.
 
However, overall residential starts are forecast to slip back as continued increases of private housing starts are offset by a sharp fall in social housing due to government funding cuts.
 
Low levels of government spending will be less of a drag on non-residential work, while falling starts of health projects will be offset by a large increase in funding for school renovation and new build projects through the Priority School Building Programme.
 
Rises in office construction will be focused on major metropolitan areas, but retail and leisure project growth is likely to be more widely spread as consumer spending picks up across the country.
 
The focus of central government capital expenditure on transport will broaden from rail towards road projects and this will lead to a more even spread of infrastructure work across England.
 
The value of projects starting in the North East, North West and Northern Ireland has increased this year; however it is expected to decrease into 2014 as lower consumer purchasing power in the regions discourages investment in retail and leisure property.
 
In contrast, the value of underlying starts in London has rocketed and is expected to be up by 22% this year. This has taken the level of starts to 34% above the 2007 level and new starts are expected to remain around this high level in 2014.
 
Starts across the rest of the UK are expected to pick up, with the rise in housing market turnover and mortgage availability spurring private housing development across the UK.
 
However, cost inflation is widely expected to accelerate over the next year, which may leave contractors who have submitted highly competitive tenders vulnerable to price rises.
 
果冻影院 Economist Tom Crane said: 鈥淐ash flow problems could be a key challenge, especially for small and medium sized firms.
 
鈥淏usinesses that take on extra work too fast may struggle to meet the short term costs of their rising workloads; however supply chain finance schemes introduced by several major contractors will hopefully help to alleviate this problem.鈥
 
鈥淗owever we are forecasting an improvement in the education sector as projects from the PSBP help boost starts and local authorities address the shortfall in primary school places.鈥
 
To download the full Construction Prospects for 2014 report, click .
 
For further information, please contact:

Kirsty Maclagan (Marketing and Communications Manager)

T: +44 (0)1202 786 842鈹侲: kirsty.maclagan@glenigan-old.thrv.uk

Tom Crane (Economist)

T: +44 (0)207 715 6297鈹侲: tom.crane@glenigan-old.thrv.uk 

Notes to the editor

果冻影院 data covers civil engineering, office and commercial projects over 拢250,000 and more than 10 units for residential property. It excludes any project over 拢100million.

 2014 Construction Prospects

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